Daily to Decadal Ecological Forecasting along North American Coastlines Workshop, a joint workshop between OCB and US CLIVAR will take place April 12-14, 2022. Currently the plan is to host the workshop in person in Woods Hole, MA with virtual participation options.
Coastal areas share unique intersections of large-scale climate variability and local hydrology, wetland, benthic and pelagic ecosystems, and anthropogenic pressures. Forecasting of harmful environmental conditions for planning, adaptation, and mitigation purposes is both complex and urgently needed. Recent syntheses have highlighted sources of predictability for ecological forecasting at seasonal to interannual timescales relevant to specific applications (e.g., fisheries), but they have also revealed challenges such as a disconnect between open ocean and coastal and estuarine forecasting communities as well as the significant challenge of data availability.
This workshop aims at bringing together climate scientists, biogeochemists, and global and regional modelers to:
- Examine the connections between large-scale physical and biogeochemical processes and coastal processes, and identify sources of predictability at daily to decadal timescales that are specific to regions along US coastlines.
- Assess the suitability and needs for observations that characterize key physical and biogeochemical ecosystem drivers, their interactions across scales, and their vulnerability to climate change and in different coastal regions.
- Assess the major gaps in both understanding and modeling/observing capabilities that limit our ability to produce ecological forecasts at the scales needed for management along US coastlines, and identify potential avenues for accelerating progress.
Leading up to the workshop, the Scientific Organizing Committee will put together a blog to collect contributions by prospective participants on their specific research activities, results, and challenges. In addition, a webinar series will be organized to highlight needs by practitioners and end users. These activities will initiate interactions among participants and contribute to the definition of the major challenges.
More details on the workshop website. Registration and abstract submission will open this winter.