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Archive for modeling – Page 3

Water clarity impacts temperature and biogeochemistry in Chesapeake Bay

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, December 3rd, 2020 

Estuarine water clarity is determined by suspended materials in the water, including colored dissolved organic matter, phytoplankton, sediment, and detritus. These constituents directly affect temperature because when water is opaque, sunlight heats only the shallowest layers near the surface, but when water is clear, sunlight can penetrate deeper, warming the waters below the surface. Despite the importance of accurately predicting temperature variability, many numerical modeling studies do not adequately parameterize this fundamental relationship between water clarity and temperature.

In a recent study published in Estuaries and Coasts, the authors quantified the impact of a more realistic representation of water clarity in a hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model of the Chesapeake Bay by comparing two simulations: (1) water clarity is constant in space and time for the calculation of solar heating vs. (2) water clarity varies with modeled concentrations of light-attenuating materials. In the variable water clarity simulation (2), the water is more opaque, particularly in the northern region of the Bay. During the spring and summer months, the lower water clarity in the northern Bay is associated with warmer surface temperatures and colder bottom temperatures. Warmer surface temperatures encourage phytoplankton growth and nutrient uptake near the head of the Bay, thus fewer nutrients are transported downstream. These conditions are exacerbated during high-river flow years, when differences in temperature, nutrients, phytoplankton, and zooplankton extend further seaward.

Figure 1: Top row: Difference in the light attenuation coefficient for shortwave heating, kh[m-1] (variable minus constant light attenuation simulation). June, July, and August average for (A) 2001, (B) average of 2001-2005, and (C) 2003; difference in bottom temperatures [oC] (variable minus constant). Bottom row: Difference in June, July, and August average bottom temperature for (D) 2001, (E) average of 2001-2005, and (F) 2003. Data for 2001 are representative of low river discharge, and 2003 are representative high river discharge years.

This work demonstrates that a constant light attenuation scheme for heating calculations in coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical models underestimates temperature variability, both temporally and spatially. This is an important finding for researchers who use models to predict future temperature variability and associated impacts on biogeochemistry and species habitability.

 

Authors:
Grace E. Kim (NASA, Goddard Space Flight Center)
Pierre St-Laurent (VIMS, William & Mary)
Marjorie A.M. Friedrichs (VIMS, William & Mary)
Antonio Mannino (NASA, Goddard Space Flight Center)

A new Regional Earth System Model of the Mediterranean Sea biogeochemical dynamics

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, November 19th, 2020 

The Mediterranean Sea is a semi-enclosed mid-latitude oligotrophic basin with a lower net primary production than the global ocean. A west-east productivity trophic gradient results from the superposition of biogeochemical and physical processes, including the biological pump and associated carbon and nutrient (nitrogen, phosphorus) fluxes, the spatial asymmetric distribution of nutrient sources (rivers, atmospheric deposition, coastal upwelling, etc.), the estuarine inverse circulation associated with the inflow of Atlantic water through the Gibraltar Strait. The complex and highly variable interface between land and sea throughout this basin add a further layer of complexity in the Mediterranean oceanic and atmospheric circulation and on the associated biogeochemistry dynamics, emphasizing the need for high-resolution truly integrated Regional Earth System Models to track and understand fine-scale processes and ecosystem dynamics.

In a recent paper published in the Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth System, the authors introduced a new version of the Regional Earth System model RegCM-ES and evaluated its performance in the Mediterranean region. RegCM-ES fully integrates the regional climate model RegCM4, the land surface scheme CLM4.5 (Community Land Model), the river routing model HD (Hydrological Discharge Model), the ocean model MITgcm (MIT General Circulation model) and the Biogeochemical Flux Model BFM.

A comparison with available observations has shown that RegCM-ES was able to capture the mean climate of the region and to reproduce horizontal and vertical patterns of chlorophyll-a and PO4 (the limiting nutrient in the basin) (Figure 1). The same comparison revealed a systematic underestimation of simulated dissolved oxygen (which will be fixed by the use of a new parametrization of oxygen solubility), and an overestimation of NO3, possibly due to uncertainties in initial and boundary conditions (mostly traced to river and Dardanelles nutrient discharges) and an overly vigorous vertical mixing simulated by the ocean model in some parts of the Basin.

Figure.1 Distributions of chlorophyll-a mg/m3 (top) and PO4 mmol/m3 (bottom) in the Mediterranean Sea as simulated by RegCM-ES.

Overall, this analysis has demonstrated that RegCM-ES has the capabilities required to become a powerful tool for studying regional dynamics and impacts of climate change on the Mediterranean Sea and other ocean basins around the world.

 

Authors:
Marco Reale (Abdus Salam International Centre for theoretical physics-ICTP, National Institute of Oceanography and Experimental Geophysics-OGS)
Filippo Giorgi (Abdus Salam International Centre for theoretical physics-ICTP)
Cosimo Solidoro (National Institute of Oceanography and Experimental Geophysics-OGS)
Valeria Di Biagio (National Institute of Oceanography and Experimental Geophysics-OGS)
Fabio Di Sante (Abdus Salam International Centre for theoretical physics-ICTP)
Laura Mariotti (National Institute of Oceanography and Experimental Geophysics-OGS)
Riccardo Farneti (Abdus Salam International Centre for theoretical physics-ICTP)
Gianmaria Sannino (Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development-ENEA)

Austral summer vertical migration patterns in Antarctic zooplankton

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, October 15th, 2020 

Sunrise and sunset are the main cues driving zooplankton diel vertical migration (DVM) throughout the world’s oceans. These marine animals balance the trade-off between feeding in surface waters at night and avoiding predation during the day at depth. Near-constant daylight during polar summer was assumed to dampen these daily migrations. In a recent paper published in Deep-Sea Research I, authors assessed austral summer DVM patterns for 15 taxa over a 9-year period. Despite up to 22 hours of sunlight, a diverse array of zooplankton – including copepods, krill, pteropods, and salps – continued DVM.

Figure caption: Mean day (orange) and night (blue) abundance of (A) the salp Salpa thompsoni, (B) the krill species Thysanoessa macrura, (C) the pteropod Limacina helicina, and (D) chaetognaths sampled at discrete depth intervals from 0-500m. Horizontal dashed lines indicate weighted mean depth (WMD). N:D is the night to day abundance ratio for 0-150 m. Error bars indicate one standard error. Sample size n = 12 to 22. Photos by Larry Madin, Miram Gleiber, and Kharis Schrage.

The Palmer Antarctica Long-Term Ecological Research (LTER) Program conducted this study using a MOCNESS (Multiple Opening/Closing Net and Environmental Sensing System) to collect depth-stratified samples west of the Antarctic Peninsula. The depth range of migrations during austral summer varied across taxa and with daylength and phytoplankton biomass and distribution. While most taxa continued some form of DVM, others (e.g., carnivores and detritivores) remained most abundant in the mesopelagic zone, regardless of photoperiod, which likely impacted the attenuation of vertical carbon flux. Given the observed differences in vertical distribution and migration behavior across taxa, ongoing changes in Antarctic zooplankton assemblages will likely impact carbon export pathways. More regional, taxon-specific studies such as this are needed to inform efforts to model zooplankton contributions to the biological carbon pump.

 

Authors:
John Conroy (VIMS, William & Mary)
Deborah Steinberg (VIMS, William & Mary)
Patricia Thibodeau (VIMS, William & Mary; currently University of Rhode Island)
Oscar Schofield (Rutgers University)

Estuarine sediment resuspension drives non-local impacts on biogeochemistry

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Friday, September 18th, 2020 

Sediment processes, including resuspension and transport, affect water quality in estuaries by altering light attenuation, primary productivity, and organic matter remineralization, which then influence oxygen and nitrogen dynamics. In a recent paper published in Estuaries and Coasts, the authors quantified the degree to which sediment resuspension and transport affected estuarine biogeochemistry by implementing a coupled hydrodynamic-sediment transport-biogeochemical model of the Chesapeake Bay. By comparing summertime model runs that either included or neglected seabed resuspension, the study revealed that resuspension increased light attenuation, especially in the northernmost portion of the Bay, which subsequently shifted primary production downstream (Figure 1). Resuspension also increased remineralization in the central Bay, which experienced higher organic matter concentrations due to the downstream shift in primary productivity. When combined with estuarine circulation, these resuspension-induced shifts caused oxygen to increase and ammonium to increase throughout the Bay in the bottom portion of the water column. Averaged over the channel, resuspension decreased oxygen by ~25% and increased ammonium by ~50% for the bottom water column. Changes due to resuspension were of the same order of magnitude as, and generally exceeded, short-term variations within individual summers, as well as interannual variability between wet and dry years. This work highlights the importance of a localized process like sediment resuspension and its capacity to drive biogeochemical variations on larger spatial scales. Documenting the spatiotemporal footprint of these processes is critical for understanding and predicting the response of estuarine and coastal systems to environmental changes, and for informing management efforts.

Figure 1: Schematic of how resuspension affects biogeochemical processes based on HydroBioSed model estimates for Chesapeake Bay.

Authors:
Julia M. Moriarty (University of Colorado Boulder)
Marjorie A. M. Friedrichs (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)
Courtney K. Harris (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)

 

Also see the Geobites piece “Muddy waters lead to decreased oxygen in Chesapeake Bay” on this publication, by Hadley McIntosh Marcek

A close-up view of biomass controls in Southern Ocean eddies

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, August 20th, 2020 

Southern Ocean biological productivity is instrumental in regulating the global carbon cycle. Previous correlative studies associated widespread mesoscale activity with anomalous chlorophyll levels. However, eddies simultaneously modify both the physical and biogeochemical environments via several competing pathways, making it difficult to discern which mechanisms are responsible for the observed biological anomalies within them. Two recently published papers track Southern Ocean eddies in a global, eddy-resolving, 3-D ocean simulation. By closely examining eddy-induced perturbations to phytoplankton populations, the authors are able to explicitly link eddies to co-located biological anomalies through an underlying mechanistic framework.

Figure caption: Simulated Southern Ocean eddies modify phytoplankton division rates in different directions of depending on the polarity of the eddy and background seasonal conditions. During summer anticyclones (top right panel) deliver extra iron from depth via eddy-induced Ekman pumping and fuel faster phytoplankton division rates. During winter (bottom right panel) the extra iron supply is eclipsed by deeper mixed layer depths and elevated light limitation resulting in slower division rates. The opposite occurs in cyclones.

In the first paper, the authors observe that eddies primarily affect phytoplankton division rates by modifying the supply of iron via eddy-induced Ekman pumping. This results in elevated iron and faster phytoplankton division rates in anticyclones throughout most of the year. However, during deep mixing winter periods, exacerbated light stress driven by anomalously deep mixing in anticyclones can dominate elevated iron and drive division rates down. The opposite response occurs in cyclones.

The second paper tracks how eddy-modified division rates combine with eddy-modified loss rates and physical transport to produce anomalous biomass accumulation. The biomass anomaly is highly variable, but can exhibit an intense seasonal cycle, in which cyclones and anticyclones consistently modify biomass in different directions. This cycle is most apparent in the South Pacific sector of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, a deep mixing region where the largest biomass anomalies are driven by biological mechanisms rather than lateral transport mechanisms such as eddy stirring or propagation.

It is important to remember that the correlation between chlorophyll and eddy activity observable from space can result from a variety of physical and biological mechanisms. Understanding the nuances of how these mechanisms change regionally and seasonally is integral in both scaling up local observations and parameterizing coarser, non-eddy resolving general circulation models with embedded biogeochemistry.

Authors:
Tyler Rohr (Australian Antarctic Partnership Program, previously at MIT/WHOI)
Cheryl Harrison (University of Texas Rio Grande Valley)
Matthew Long (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Peter Gaube (University of Washington)
Scott Doney (University of Virginia)

Multiyear predictions of ocean acidification in the California Current System

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, August 20th, 2020 

The California Current System is a highly productive coastal upwelling region that supports commercial fisheries valued at $6 billion/year. These fisheries are supported by upwelled waters, which are rich in nutrients and serve as a natural fertilizer for phytoplankton. Due to remineralization of organic matter at depth, these upwelled waters also contain large amounts of dissolved inorganic carbon, causing local conditions to be more acidic than the open ocean. This natural acidity, compounded by the dissolution of anthropogenic CO2 into coastal waters, creates corrosive conditions for shell-forming organisms, including commercial fishery species.

A recent study in Nature Communications showcases the potential for climate models to skillfully predict variations in surface pH—thus ocean acidification—in the California Current System. The authors evaluate retrospective predictions of ocean acidity made by a global Earth System Model set up similarly to a weather forecasting system. The forecasting system can already predict variations in observed surface pH fourteen months in advance, but has the potential to predict surface pH up to five years in advance with better initializations of dissolved inorganic carbon (Figure 1). Skillful predictions are mostly driven by the model’s initialization and subsequent transport of dissolved inorganic carbon throughout the North Pacific basin.

Figure 1. Forecast of annual surface pH anomalies in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem for 2020. Red colors denote anomalously basic conditions for the given location and blue colors indicate anomalously acidic conditions.

These results demonstrate, for the first time, the feasibility of using climate models to make multiyear predictions of surface pH in the California Current. Output from this global prediction system could serve as boundary conditions for high-resolution models of the California Current to improve prediction time scale and ultimately help inform management decisions for vulnerable and valuable shellfisheries.

 

Authors:
Riley X. Brady (University of Colorado Boulder)
Nicole S. Lovenduski (University of Colorado Boulder)
Stephen G. Yeager (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Matthew C. Long (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Keith Lindsay (National Center for Atmospheric Research)

Blue hole in the South China Sea reveals ancient carbon

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Wednesday, July 8th, 2020 

Blue holes are unique depositional environments that are formed within carbonate platforms. Due to an enclosed geomorphology that restricts water exchange, blue hole ecosystems are typically characterized by steep biogeochemical gradients and distinctive microbial communities. For the past three decades, studies have described vertical gradients in physical, chemical, and biological parameters that typify blue hole water columns, but their elemental cycles, particularly carbon, remain poorly understood.

Figure 1. Aerial photo of the Yongle Blue Hole in the South China Sea (Credit: P. Yao et al./JGR Biogeosciences)

In July 2016, the Yongle Blue Hole (YBH) was discovered to be the deepest known blue hole on Earth (~300 m). YBH is located in the Xisha Islands of the South China Sea. The unique features and ease of accessibility make YBH an ideal natural laboratory for studying carbon cycling in marine anoxic systems. In a recent study published in JGR Biogeosciences, the authors reported extremely low concentrations of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) (e.g., 22 µM) and very high concentrations of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) (e.g., 3,090 µM) in YBH deep waters. Radiocarbon dating revealed that the YBH DOC and DIC were unusually old, yielding ages (6,810 and 8270 years BP, respectively) that are much more typical of open ocean deep water. Based on H2S and microbial community composition profiles, the authors concluded that sharp redox gradients and a high abundance of sulfur cycling bacteria were likely responsible for much of the DOC consumption in YBH. The unusually low concentrations and old DOC ages in the relatively shallow YBH suggest short-term cycling of recalcitrant DOC in oceanic waters, which has been recognized as a long-term microbial carbon sink in the global ocean. The stoichiometry of DIC and total alkalinity changes suggested that the accumulation of DIC in the deep layer of the YBH was largely derived from both the dissolution of carbonate and OC decomposition through sulfate reduction. However, the role of carbonate dissolution from the walls of the blue hole in affecting the old ages of carbon in this system remain uncertain, yet there appears to no evidence of subterranean freshwater into the bottom waters of the blue hole. In the face of expanding oxygen minimum zones and anthropogenically-induced coastal hypoxia, blue holes such as YBH can provide an accessible natural laboratory in which to study the microbial and biogeochemical features that typify these low-oxygen systems.

 

Authors:
Peng Yao (Ocean University of China)
Thomas S. Bianchi (University of Florida)
Xuchen Wang (Ocean University of China)
Zuosheng Yang (Ocean University of China)
Zhigang Yu (Ocean University of China)

Global change impacts soil carbon storage in blue carbon ecosystems

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Wednesday, May 20th, 2020 

Vegetated coastal “blue carbon” ecosystems, including sea grasses, mangroves, and salt marshes, provide valuable ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration, storm protection, critical habitat, etc.. Many of these services are supported by the ability of blue carbon ecosystems to accumulate soil organic carbon over thousands of years.  Rapidly changing climate and environmental conditions will impact decomposition and thus the global reservoir of organic carbon in coastal soils. A recent Perspective article published in Nature Geoscience focused on the biogeochemical factors affecting decomposition in coastal soils, such as mineral protection, redox zonation, water content and movement, and plant-microbe interactions. The authors explored the spatial and temporal scales of these decomposition mechanisms and developed a conceptual framework to characterize how they may respond to environmental disturbances such as land-use change, nutrient loading, warming, and sea-level rise.

Figure caption: Temperate salt marshes (MA, USA). Healthy salt marshes have lush stands of grasses (top). Storms can expose peat deposits that have been buried for thousands of years (bottom). The fate of this soil carbon is unknown, but some fraction will be respired by microbes and returned to the atmosphere as CO2.

Improved estimates of soil organic carbon in blue carbon systems will require better characterization of these processes from sustained data sets. Furthermore, incorporation of these decomposition mechanisms into ecosystem evolution models will improve our capacity to quantify and predict changes in these soil carbon reservoirs, which could facilitate their inclusion in global budgets and management tools.

Temperate salt marshes (MA, USA). Healthy salt marshes have lush stands of grasses (left/top). Storms can expose peat deposits that have been buried for thousands of years (right/bottom). The fate of this soil carbon is unknown, but some fraction will be respired by microbes and returned to the atmosphere as CO2.

 

Authors:
Amanda C Spivak (University of Georgia)
Jon Sanderman (Woods Hole Research Center)
Jennifer Bowen (Northeastern University)
Elizabeth A. Canuel (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)
Charles S Hopkinson (University of Georgia)

Little big exporters

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Wednesday, April 8th, 2020 

In the Southern Ocean, coccolithophores are thought to account for a major fraction of marine carbonate production and export to the deep sea. Despite their importance in the ocean carbon cycle, we lack fundamental information about Southern Ocean coccolithophore abundance, species composition, and contribution to carbonate export.

Figure caption: Heliscosphaera carteri (left), Coccolithus pelagicus (right) and Emiliania huxleyi (bottom right, partially behind C. pelagicus) coccospheres retrieved from the subantarctic waters south of Tasmania. Image Ruth Eriksen, courtesy AAD EMU.

A recent study in Biogeosciences has generated annual observations of coccolithophore species composition and contribution to calcium carbonate fluxes at two sites that are representative of a large portion of the Subantarctic zone. Coccolithophores account for roughly half of the annual calcium carbonate exported to the deep sea. Notably, it is not the most abundant species (Emiliania huxleyi), but rather the less abundant and larger species (e.g. Calcidiscus leptoporus, Helicosphaera carteri and Coccolithus pelagicus) that make the greatest contribution to carbonate export to the deep sea. Since these larger species exhibit substantially different ecological traits from the opportunistic E. huxleyi, predictions of future response of Southern Ocean coccolithophore communities should not be based on the physiological results from experiments with E. huxleyi. Rather, new physiological response experiments of those less abundant, larger coccolithophore species are urgently needed to constrain responses of these important carbonate exporters to environmental change in the Southern Ocean. This study underscores the importance of phytoplankton ecological traits on the regulation of the marine carbon cycle and emphasizes the need for more species-specific studies to improve predictions of marine ecosystem response to ongoing climate change.

 

Authors
Andrés S. Rigual Hernández (Universidad de Salamanca)
Thomas W. Trull (CSIRO and ACE CRC)
Scott D. Nodder (NIWA)
José A. Flores (Universidad de Salamanca)
Helen Bostock (University of Queensland,)
Fátima Abrantes (Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere and CCMAR)
Ruth S. Eriksen (CSIRO and IMAS)
Francisco J. Sierro (Universidad de Salamanca)
Diana M. Davies (CSIRO and ACE CRC)
Anne-Marie Ballegeer (Universidad de Salamanca)
Miguel A. Fuertes (Universidad de Salamanca)
Lisa C. Northcote (NIWA)

Tiny, but effective: Gelatinous zooplankton and the ocean biological carbon pump

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Wednesday, March 25th, 2020 

Barely visible to the naked eye, gelatinous zooplankton play important roles in marine food webs. Cnidaria, Ctenophora, and Urochordata are omnipresent and provide important food sources for many more highly developed marine organisms. These small, nearly transparent organisms also transport large quantities of “jelly-carbon” from the upper ocean to depth. A recent study in Global Biogeochemical Cycles focused on quantifying the gelatinous zooplankton contribution to the ocean carbon cycle.

Figure 1. Processes and pathways or gelatinous carbon transfer to the deep ocean.

Using >90,000 data points (1934 to 2011) from the Jellyfish Database Initiative (JeDI), the authors compiled global estimates of jellyfish biomass, production, vertical migration, and jelly carbon transfer efficiency. Despite their small biomass relative to the total mass of organisms living in the upper ocean, their rapid, highly efficient sinking makes them a globally significant source of organic carbon for deep-ocean ecosystems, with 43-48% of their upper ocean production reaching 2000 m, which translates into 0.016 Pg C yr-1.

Figure 2. Mass deposition event of jellyfish at 3500 m in the Arabian Sea (Billett et al. 2006).

Sediment trap data have suggested that carbon transport associated with large, episodic gelatinous blooms in localized open ocean and continental shelf regions could often exceed phytodetrital sources, in particular instances. These mass deposition events and their contributions to deep carbon export must be taken into account in models to better characterize marine ecosystems and reduce uncertainties in our understanding of the ocean’s role in the global carbon cycle.

Links:

Jellyfish Database Initiative http://jedi.nceas.ucsb.edu, http://jedi.nceas.ucsb.edu-dmo.org/dataset/526852 )

 

Authors:
Mario Lebrato (Christian‐Albrechts‐University Kiel and Bazaruto Center for Scientific Studies, Mozambique)
Markus Pahlow (GEOMAR)
Jessica R. Frost (South Florida Water Management District)
Marie Küter (Christian‐Albrechts‐University Kiel)
Pedro de Jesus Mendes (Marine and Environmental Scientific and Technological Solutions, Germany)
Juan‐Carlos Molinero (GEOMAR)
Andreas Oschlies (GEOMAR)

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