Archive for ocean observatories

Northeast Pacific time-series reveals episodic events as major player in carbon export

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Tuesday, April 16th, 2019 

Temporal fluctuations in the oceanic carbon budget play an important role in the cycling of organic matter from production in surface waters to consumption and sequestration in the deep ocean. A 29-year time-series (1989-2017) of particulate organic carbon (POC) fluxes and seafloor measurements of oxygen consumption in the abyssal northeast Pacific (Sta. M, 4,000 m depth) recently revealed an increasing proportional contribution from episodic events over the past seven years. From 2011 to 2017, 43% of POC flux arrived during high-magnitude (≥ mean + 2 σ) episodic events. Time lags between changes in satellite-estimated export flux (EF), POC flux to the seafloor, and seafloor oxygen consumption varied from 0 to 70 days among six flux events, which could be attributed to variable remineralization rates and/or particle sinking speeds. The Martin equation, a commonly used model to estimate carbon flux, predicted background fluxes well but missed episodic fluxes, subsequently underestimating the measured fluxes by almost 50% (Figure 1). This study reveals the potential importance of episodic POC pulses into the deep sea in the oceanic carbon budget, which has implications for observing infrastructure, model development, and field campaigns focused on quantifying carbon export.

Figure Caption: (A) Station M POC flux measured from sediment traps compared to Martin model estimates, from 1989 to 2017. (B) Model performance for years with >50% sampling coverage: (POC fluxMartin − POC fluxtrap)/POC fluxtrap 100.

 

Authors:
Kenneth Smith (MBARI)
Henry Ruhl (MBARI, NOC)
Christine Huffard (MBARI)
Monique Messié (MBARI, Aix Marseille Université)
Mati Kahru (Scripps)

 

See also https://www.mbari.org/carbon-pulses-climate-models/

Ocean color offers early warning signal of climate change’s impact on marine phytoplankton

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Monday, April 15th, 2019 

Marine phytoplankton form the foundation of the marine food web and play a crucial role in the earth’s carbon cycle. Typically, satellite-derived Chlorophyll a (Chl a) is used to evaluate trends in phytoplankton. However, it may be many decades (or longer) before we see a statistically significant signature of climate change in Chl a due to its inherently large natural variability. In a recent study in Nature Communications, authors explored how other metrics, in particular the color of the ocean, may show earlier and stronger signals of climate change at the base of the marine food web.

Figure 1. Computer model results indicating the year in which the signature of climate change impact is larger than the natural variability for (a) Chl a, and (b) remotely sensed reflectance in the blue-green waveband. White areas indicate where there is not a statistically significant change by 2100, or for regions that are currently ice-covered.

 

In this study, the authors use a unique marine physical-biogeochemical and ecosystem model that also captures how light penetrates the ocean and is reflected upward. The model shows that over the course of the 21st century, remote sensing reflectance (RRS, the ratio of upwelling radiance to the downwelling irradiance at the ocean’s surface) in the blue-green portions of the light spectrum is likely to have an earlier, more spatially extensive climate change-driven signal than Chl a (Figure 1). This is because RRS integrates not only changes to Chl a, but also alterations in other optically important water constituents. In particular, RRS also captures changes in phytoplankton community structure, which strongly affects ocean optics and is likely to be altered over the 21st century. Monitoring the response of marine phytoplankton to climate change is important for predicting changes at higher trophic levels, including commercial fisheries. Our study emphasizes the importance of 1) maintaining ocean color sensor compatibility and long-term stability, particularly in the blue-green wavebands; 2) maintaining long-term in situ time-series of plankton communities – e.g., the Continuous Plankton Recorder survey and repeat stations (e.g., HOT, BATS); and 3) reducing uncertainties in satellite-derived phytoplankton community structure estimates.

 

Authors:
Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Oliver Jahn (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Anna E. Hickman (University of Southampton)
Stephanie Henson (National Oceanography Centre Southampton)
Claudie Beaulieu (University of California, Santa Cruz)
Erwan Monier (University of California, Davis)

A half century perspective: Seasonal productivity and particulates in the Ross Sea

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Tuesday, April 2nd, 2019 

Studies of cruise observations in the Ross Sea are typically biased to a single or a few year(s), and long-term trends have predominantly come from satellites. Consequently, the in situ climatological patterns of nutrients and particulate matter have remained vague and unclear. What are the typical patterns of nutrients and particulate matter concentrations in the Ross Sea in spring and summer? How do these concentrations affect annual productivity estimates?

Patterns of nutrient and particulate matter in the Ross Sea can play a wide-ranging role in a productive region like the Ross Sea. Smith and Kaufman (2018) recently synthesized austral spring and summer (November to February) observations from 42 Ross Sea research cruises (1967-2016) to analyze broad biogeochemical patterns. The resulting climatologies revealed interesting seasonal patterns of nutrient uptake and particulate organic carbon (POC) to chlorophyll (chl) ratios (POC:chl). Temporal patterns in the nitrate and phosphate climatologies confirm the role of early spring haptophyte (Phaeocystis antarctica) growth, followed by limited nitrogen and phosphorus removal in summer. However, a notable increase in POC occurred later in summer that was largely independent of chlorophyll changes, resulting in a dramatic increase in POC:chl. A gradual decline in silicic acid concentrations throughout the summer, along with an increased occurrence of biogenic silica during this time suggest that diatoms may be responsible for this later POC spike. Revised estimates of primary productivity based on these observed climatological POC:chl ratios suggests that summer blooms may be a significant contributor to seasonal productivity, and that estimates of productivity based on satellite pigments underestimate annual production by at least 70% (Figure 1).

Figure 1. Bio-optical estimates of mean productivity using a constant POC:chl ratio (black dots and lines) and modified estimates of productivity using the monthly climatological POC:chl ratios (red dots and lines), in a) the Ross Sea polynya region and b) the western Ross Sea region.

 

By clarifying typical seasonal patterns of nutrient uptake and POC:chl, these climatologies underscore the biogeochemical importance of both spring haptophyte growth and previously underestimated summer diatom growth in the Ross Sea. Further investigation of the causes and consequences of elevated summer ratios is needed, as assessments of regional food webs and biogeochemical cycles depend on more accurate understanding of primary productivity patterns. Likewise, these results highlight the need for continued efforts to constrain satellite productivity estimates in the Ross Sea using in situ constituent ratios.

For other relevant work on seasonal biogeochemical patterns in the Ross Sea, please see https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr2.2003.07.010. And for intra-seasonal estimates of particulate organic carbon to chlorophyll using gliders, please see: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsr.2014.06.011.

 

Authors:
Walker O. Smith Jr. (VIMS, College of William and Mary)
Daniel E. Kaufman (VIMS, College of William and Mary; now at Chesapeake Research Consortium)

 

 

 

Rapid warming and salinity changes mask acidification in Gulf of Maine waters

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Wednesday, February 20th, 2019 

Why don’t we see ocean acidification in over a decade of high-frequency observations in the Gulf of Maine? The answer lies in a recent decade of changes that raised sea surface temperature and salinity, and in turn dampened the expected acidification signal and caused the saturation states of calcite minerals to increase. From 2004 to 2014, sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Maine were higher than any observations recorded in the region over the past 150 years. This greatly impacted both CO2 solubility and the sea surface carbonate system, as detailed in a recent paper in Biogeochemistry.

Over the 34 years of the time-series, the recent event is extreme, but interannual and decadal salinity and temperature variability also influenced carbonate system parameters, which makes it difficult to isolate and quantify an anthropogenic ocean acidification signal, especially if relying on shorter-term observations (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Modeled ΩAragonite (top panel) and pH (bottom panel) anomalies relative to monthly 2004 data. The red lines show trends prior to and after 2004, after which warming accelerated.

For those with a stake in profiting from or managing extractive resources that are susceptible to ocean acidification such as commercially important lobster and bivalves, understanding how ecosystems will be affected is critical. These analyses clearly demonstrate how physical processes can either accelerate or mitigate ocean carbonate system changes, thus confounding the detection of ocean acidification that is expected from increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide. To assess whether an ecosystem or species is at risk or aided by such processes, it is important to observe, understand, and be able to model all sources of carbonate system variability.

Authors:
Joe Salisbury and Bror Jönsson (Both at Ocean Processes Analysis Laboratory, University of New Hampshire)

Autonomous measurement of N-loss in the Eastern Tropical North Pacific ODZ: An Invitation for Collaboration

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, January 10th, 2019 

By Mark A. Altabet (SMAST/U. Mass. Dartmouth), Craig McNeil, and Eric D’Asaro (both at APL / U. Washington)

Oxygen deficient zones (ODZs) constitute a small fraction of total oceanic volume yet play an important role in regulating global ocean carbon and nitrogen cycles. They are critical for regulating the ocean’s nitrogen budget, as loss of biologically available nitrogen to N2 gas (N-loss) within ODZs is estimated to be 30 to 50% of the global total. However, temporal and spatial variability in N-loss rates have been undersampled by ship-based process studies leaving substantial uncertainty in overall rates. While local and short-term regulation of N-loss by O2 and organic matter availability is well documented, little is known about the larger scale temporal/spatial variability in N-loss that may result from physical forcings such as remote ventilation, seasonal variability in vertical exchange with the near-surface layer, and mesoscale eddies. Understanding the impact of larger scale physical forcings on N-loss as mediated through O2 and organic flux is needed to fully understand the causes and consequences of any future ODZ expansion. To achieve this, we need sustained observations by a distributed array capable of detecting synoptic variability.

To address these issues, a new NSF-funded project will carry out a multiyear, autonomous float-based observational program to answer the following questions:

  • How does biogenic N2 production in ODZs vary over weekly to annual time scales and space scales of 10s to 1000s km?
  • What are the major scales of variability and their associated oceanographic phenomena and how do they relate to control by organic matter flux and O2 concentration?
  • How does this variability influence regionally integrated N-loss?

Figure 1. The ETNP ODZ roughly defined by O2 <1.5 μmol/kg (orange, World Ocean Atlas 2013). Our new NSF-funded project will sample across these patterns of spatial and temporal variability for 2 years with 10 subsurface ODZ floats (red/blue) each measuring profiles of T, S, O2 (50 nmol/kg LOD) and N2 (0.1 μmol/kg precision), and the in situ rate of N2 change. Four Argo floats with O2 sensors and BioOptical floats provided by collaborators will supplement this array. Bright bar symbols are the planned deployment positions; dimmed bar symbols suggest possible displacements after 2 years. Ship-based measurements (yellow stars) along the deployment cruise track (magenta) will be used for float sensor calibration and identification of ETNP source water properties. The 2-year track of our prototype GasFloat is also shown (black line).

This project will exploit our ability to make in situ, ultra-high precision measurement of N2 concentration (~0.1 umol/kg) and use commercially available O2 sensors to measure O2 in the 10s of nM range. Our study area is the Eastern Tropical North Pacific (ETNP), the largest ODZ and the region of our successful pilot deployments (Figure 1). Over a multi-year period, our study will determine in situ nM-level O2 and biogenic N2 on float profiles distributed throughout the ETNP and encompassing geographic gradients in O2 and surface productivity. For the first time, our study will also determine in situ N-loss rates from changes in N2 concentration during one- to two-week Lagrangian float deployments drifting along a constant density surface (Figure 2). A pilot two-year float (‘GasFloat, Figure 1) deployment in the ETNP has documented our ability to do so. Critically, our float-based approach more closely matches the frequency and distribution of observations to the expected variability in biogenic N2 production, as compared to prior work. This study will also dramatically increase the data density in this region by acquiring >500 profiles/drifts for N2 and >1000 profiles for nM O2.

Figure 2. (a) Schematic of float system to be deployed (b) Example of float mission including 2-week isopycnal drift.

We anticipate float deployment in summer 2020 via a UNOLS vessel. Investigators interested in collaborative participation through contribution of autonomous instrumentation and/or making shipboard measurements are encouraged to contact the lead PI Mark Altabet at maltabet@umassd.edu.  Similarly, students interested in graduate research opportunities through this project should contact the lead PI.

Artificial light from sampling platforms changes zooplankton behavior

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Monday, November 26th, 2018 

When designing sampling we make generally accepted assumptions that what we collect is representative of what is “normal” or naturally occurring at the place, time, and depth of collection. However, a recent study in Science Advances revealed that this might not be true. During round-the-clock shipboard sampling, lights used at night can actually be a form of pollution that disrupts the diel cycle of zooplankton vertical migration.

Effect of light pollution on krill from a ship (left), diel vertical migration in natural dark conditions (middle) and effect of moonlight (right). Figure by Malin Daase (UiT).

Using a Autonomous Surface Vehicle the authors documented zooplankton behavioral patterns of light avoidance never previously seen. The study compared results from high Arctic polar night (unpolluted light environment for an extended time), to near ship samples. During months of near constant darkness in the Arctic, there was still a diel vertical migration of zooplankton limited to the upper 30 m of the water column and centered around the local sun noon. Contrasting the results from light-polluted and unpolluted areas, the authors observed that the vast majority of the pelagic community exhibit a strong light-escape response in the presence of artificial light (both ship light and even headlamps from researchers in open boats). This effect was observed down to 100 m depth and 190 m from the ship. These results suggest that artificial light from traditional sampling platforms may bias studies of zooplankton abundance and diel migration within the upper 100 m. These findings underscore the need for alternative sampling methods such as autonomous platforms, particularly in dim-light conditions, to collect more accurate and representative physical and biological data for ecological studies. In addition to research cruises and sampling, anthropogenic light pollution from predicted increases in shipping, oil and gas exploration, and light-fishing are anticipated to impact the diel rhythms of zooplankton behavior all around the globe.

Authors:
Jørgen Berge (Norwegian University of Technology and Science; UiT The Arctic University of Norway)
Martin Ludvigsen (Norwegian University of Technology and Science; University Centre in Svalbard)
Maxime Geoffroy (UiT The Arctic University of Norway, Memorial University of Newfoundland)
Jonathan H. Cohen (University of Delaware)
Pedro R. De La Torre (Norwegian University of Technology and Science)
Stein M. Nornes (Norwegian University of Technology and Science)
Hanumant Singh (Northeastern University)
Asgeir J. Sørensen (Norwegian University of Technology and Science)
Malin Daase (Norwegian University of Technology and Science)
Geir Johnsen (Norwegian University of Technology and Science; Norwegian University of Technology and Science)

Investigating variability and change in subpolar Southern Ocean pCO2 via time-series and float data

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Tuesday, November 6th, 2018 

The Southern Ocean dominates the mean global ocean sink for anthropogenic carbon, but its sparse sampling relative to other basins limits our capacity to quantify carbon uptake and accompanying seasonal to interannual variability, which is critical to predicting future ocean carbon uptake and storage. Since 2002, underway pCO2 measurements collected as part of the Drake Passage Time-series (DPT) Program have informed our understanding of seasonally varying air-sea pCO2 gradients and by inference, the carbon fluxes in this region. Understanding whether Drake Passage air-sea fluxes are representative of the broader subpolar Southern Ocean was the focus of a recent study in Biogeosciences.

Top left panel: Mean surface ocean seasonal pCO2 cycle estimate for datasets from the Surface Ocean CO2 Atlas (SOCAT) in the subpolar Southern Ocean: black- SOCAT within the Drake Passage (DP) region; green- SOCAT outside the DP region; blue- all SOCAT in Southern Ocean Subpolar Seasonally Stratified (SPSS) biome; red- Self Organizing Map Feed-forward Network (SOM-FFN) product. Shading represents 1 standard error for biome-scale monthly means driven by interannual variability. Bar plot indicates the number of years containing observations in a given month (maximum of 15 years).
Top right panel: Mean surface ocean pCO2 seasonal cycle estimate for black: underway Drake Passage Time-series data for years 2002–2016; purple: DPT for years 2016–2017 to match years covered by the floats; and orange: SOCCOM floats. Seasonal cycles are shown on an 18-month cycle, calculated from a monthly mean time series with the atmospheric correction to year 2017. Shading represents 1 standard error accounting for the spatial and temporal heterogeneity of the sample and the measurement error (2.7 % or ±11 µatm at a pCO2 of 400 µatm for floats; ±2 µatm for DPT data) combined using the square root of the sum of squares.

An analysis of available Southern Ocean pCO2 data from inside vs. outside the Drake Passage showed agreement in the timing and amplitude of seasonal pCO2 variations, suggesting that the seasonality so carefully recorded by DPT is in fact representative of the broader subpolar Southern Ocean. DPT’s high temporal resolution sampling is critical to constraining estimates of the seasonal cycle of surface pCO2 in this region, as wintertime underway pCO2 data remain sparse outside the Drake Passage. Comparisons of the DPT data to an emerging dataset of float-estimated pCO2 from the SOCCOM (Southern Ocean Carbon and Climate Observations and Modeling) project showed that both shipboard and autonomous platforms capture the expected seasonal cycle for the subpolar Southern Ocean, with an austral wintertime peak driven by deep mixing and a summertime low driven by biological uptake. However, the seasonal cycle derived from float-estimated pCO2 has a larger seasonal amplitude compared to the DPT data due to an earlier and much lower observed summertime minimum.

The Drake Passage Time-series illustrates the large variability of surface ocean pCO2 in the Southern Ocean and exemplifies the value of sustained observations for understanding changing ocean carbon uptake in this dynamic region. Coordinated monitoring efforts that combine a robust ship-based observational network with a well-calibrated array of autonomous biogeochemical floats will improve and expand our understanding of the Southern Ocean carbon cycle in the future.

Authors:
Amanda R. Fay (Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory)
Nicole S. Lovenduski (University of Colorado)
Galen A. McKinley (Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory)
David R. Munro (University of Colorado)
Colm Sweeney (University of Colorado, NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory)
Alison R. Gray (University of Washington)
Peter Landschützer (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany)
Britton B. Stephens (National Center for Atmospheric Research)
Taro Takahashi (Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory)
Nancy Williams (Oregon State University)

Dramatic Increase in Chlorophyll-a Concentrations in Response to Spring Asian Dust Events in the Western North Pacific

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Tuesday, October 23rd, 2018 

According to Martin’s iron hypothesis, input of aeolian dust into the ocean environment temporarily relieves iron limitation that suppresses primary productivity. Asian dust events that originate in the Taklimakan and Gobi Deserts occur primarily in the spring and represent the second largest global source of dust to the oceans. The western North Pacific, where productivity is co-limited by nitrogen and iron, is located directly downwind of these source regions and is therefore an ideal location for determining the response of open water primary productivity to these dust input events.

Figure 1. Daily aerosol index values (black squares) and chlorophyll-a concentrations (mg m-3, circles) during the spring (a) 2010 (weak dust event), (b) 1998 (strong dust event) in the western North Pacific. Color scale represents difference between mixed layer depth (MLD) and isolume depth (Z0.054) that indicates conditions for typical spring blooms; water column structures of MLD and isolume were identical in the spring of 1998 and 2010. Dramatic increases in chlorophyll-a (pink shading, maximum of 5.3 mg m-3) occurred in spring 1998 with a lag time of ~10 days after the strong dust event (aerosol index >2.5) on approximately April 20 compared to constant chlorophyll-a values (<2 mg m-3) in the spring of 2010.

A recent study in Geophysical Research Letters included an analysis of the spatial dynamics of spring Asian dust events, from the source regions to the western North Pacific, and their impacts on ocean primary productivity from 1998 to 2014 (except for 2002–2004) using long-term satellite observations (daily aerosol index data and chlorophyll-a). Geographical aerosol index distributions revealed three different transport pathways supported by the westerly wind system: 1) Dust moving predominantly over the Siberian continent (>50°N); 2) Dust passing across the northern East/Japan Sea (40°N‒50°N); and 3) Dust moving over the entire East/Japan Sea (35°N‒55°N). The authors observed that strong dust events could increase ocean primary productivity by more than 70% (>2-fold increase in chlorophyll-a concentrations, Figure 1) compared to weak/non-dust conditions. This result suggests that spring Asian dust events, though episodic, may play a significant role in driving the biological pump, thus sequestering atmospheric CO2 in the western North Pacific.

Another recent study reported that anthropogenic nitrogen deposition in the western North Pacific has significantly increased over the last three decades (i.e. relieving nitrogen limitation), whereas this study indicated a recent decreasing trend in the frequency of spring Asian dust events (i.e. enhancing iron limitation). Further investigation is required to fully understand the effects of contrasting behavior of iron (i.e., decreasing trend) and nitrogen (i.e., increasing trend) inputs on the ocean primary productivity in the western North Pacific, paying attention on how the marine ecosystem and biogeochemistry will respond to the changes.

 

Authors:
Joo-Eun Yoon (Incheon National University)
Il-Nam Kim (Incheon National University)
Alison M. Macdonald (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)

Shipboard LiDAR: A powerful tool for measuring the distribution and composition of particles in the ocean

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Tuesday, October 23rd, 2018 

Despite major advances in ocean observing capabilities, characterizing the vertical distribution of materials in the ocean with high spatial resolution remains challenging. Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), a technique that relies on measurement of the “time-of-flight” of a backscattered laser pulse to determine the range to a scattering object, could potentially fill this critical gap in our sampling capabilities by providing remote estimates of the vertical distribution of optical properties and suspended particles in the ocean.

A recent article in Remote Sensing of Environment details the development of a portable shipboard LiDAR and its capabilities for extending high-frequency measurements of scattering particles into the vertical dimension. The authors deployed the experimental system (shown in Figure 1a) during research cruises off the coast of Virginia and during a passenger ferry crossing of the Gulf of Maine (associated with the Gulf of Maine North Atlantic Time Series program-GNATS). Remote measurements of LiDAR signal attenuation corresponded well with simultaneous in situ measurements of water column optical properties and proxies for the concentration of suspended particles. Interestingly, the researchers also observed that the extent to which the return signal was depolarized (also known as the LiDAR depolarization ratio) may provide information regarding the composition of particles within the scattering volume. This is evidenced by the strong relationship between the depolarization ratio and the backscattering ratio, an indicator of the bulk composition (mineral vs. organic) of the particles within a scattering medium (Figure 1b).

Figure 1. a) LiDAR system deployed to look through a chock at the bow of the M/V Nova Star. b) Relationship between the LiDAR linear depolarization ratio (ρ) and coincident measurements of the particulate backscattering ratio (bbp/bp). The black line represents a least-squares exponential fit to the data.

As LiDAR technology becomes increasingly rugged, compact, and inexpensive, the regular deployment of oceanographic LiDAR on a variety of sampling platforms will become an increasingly practical method for characterizing the vertical and horizontal distribution of particles in the ocean. This has the potential to greatly improve our ability to investigate the role of particles in physical and biogeochemical oceanographic processes, especially when sampling constraints limit observations to the surface ocean.

 

Authors:
Brian L. Collister (Old Dominion University)
Richard C. Zimmerman (Old Dominion University)
Charles I. Sukenik (Old Dominion University
Victoria J. Hill (Old Dominion University)
William M. Balch (Bigelow Laboratory for Ocean Sciences)

Shelf-wide pCO2 increase across the South Atlantic Bight

Posted by mmaheigan 
· Thursday, August 2nd, 2018 

Relative to their surface area, coastal regions represent some of the largest carbon fluxes in the global ocean, driven by numerous physical, chemical and biological processes. Coastal systems also experience human impacts that affect carbon cycling, which has large socioeconomic implications. The highly dynamic nature of these systems necessitates observing approaches and numerical methods that can both capture high-frequency variability and delineate long-term trends.

Figure 1: The South Atlantic Bight (SAB) was divided into four sections using isobaths: the coastal zone (0 to 15 m), the inner shelf (15 to 30 m), the middle shelf (30 to 60 m), and the outer shelf (60 m and beyond). The X’s indicate the locations of the Gray’s Reef mooring (southern X) and the Edisto mooring (northern X).

In two recent studies using mooring- and ship-based ocean CO2 system data, authors observed that pCO2 is increasing from the coastal zone to the outer shelf of the South Atlantic Bight at rates greater than the global average oceanic and atmospheric increase (~1.8 µatm y-1). In recent publications in Continental Shelf Research and JGR-Oceans, the authors analyzed pCO2 data from 46 cruises (1991-2016) using a novel linear regression technique to remove the seasonal signal, revealing an increase in pCO2 of 3.0-3.7 µatm y-1 on the outer and inner shelf, respectively. Using a Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM) approach for trend analysis, authors observed that the rates of increase were slightly higher than the deseasonalization technique, yielding pCO2 increases of 3.3 to 4.5 µatm y-1 on the outer and inner shelf, respectively. The reported pCO2 increases result in potential pH decreases of -0.003 to -0.004 units y-1.

Figure 2: The time series of fCO2 in the four regions of the SAB (cruise observations) and from the Gray’s Reef mooring on the inner shelf indicate an increase across the shelf. These data are the observed values, however, the trend lines for each time series are calculated using deseasonalized values using the reference year method.

Analysis of the pCO2 time-series from the Gray’s Reef mooring (using a NOAA Moored Autonomous pCO2 system from July 2006 -July 2015) yielded a rate of increase (3.5 ± 0.9 µatm y-1) that was comparable to the cruise data on the inner shelf (3.7 ± 2.2 and 4.5 ± 0.6 µatm y-1, linear and GAMM methods, respectively). Validation data collected at the mooring suggest that underway data from cruises and the moored data are comparable. Neither thermal processes nor atmospheric dissolution (the primary driver of oceanic acidification) can explain the observed pCO2 increase and concurrent pH decrease across the shelf. Unlike the middle and outer shelves, where an increase in SST could account for up to 1.1 µatm y-1 of the observed pCO2 trend, there is no thermal influence in the coastal zone and inner shelf. While 1.8 µatm y-1 could be attributed to the global average atmospheric increase, the remainder is likely due to transport from coastal marshes and in situ biological processes.  As the authors have shown, the increasing coastal and oceanic trend in pCO2 can lead to a decrease in pH, especially if there is no increase in buffering capacity.  More acidic waters can have a long term affect on coastal ecosystem services and biota.

Also see Eos Editor’s Vox on this research by Peter Brewer https://eos.org/editors-vox/coastal-ocean-warming-adds-to-co2-burden

Authors:

Multidecadal fCO2 Increase Along the United States Southeast Coastal Margin (JGR-Oceans)
Janet J. Reimer (University of Delaware)
Hongjie Wang (Texas A &M University – Corpus Christi)
Rodrigo Vargas (University of Delaware)
Wei-Jun Cai (University of Delaware)

And

Time series pCO2 at a coastal mooring: Internal consistency, seasonal cycles, and interannual variability (Continental Shelf Research)
Janet J. Reimer (University of Delaware)
Wei-Jun Cai (University of Delaware; University of Georgia)
Liang Xue (University of Delaware; First Institute of Oceanography, China)
Rodrigo Vargas (University of Delaware)
Scott Noakes (University of Georgia)
Xinping Hu (Texas A &M University – Corpus Christi)
Sergio R. Signorini (Science Applications International Corporation)
Jeremy T. Mathis (NOAA Arctic Research Program)
Richard A. Feely (NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory)
Adrienne J. Sutton (NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory; University of Washington)
Christopher Sabine (University of Hawaii Manoa)
Sylvia Musielewicz (NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory; University of Washington)
Baoshan Chen (University of Delaware; University of Georgia)
Rik Wanninkhof (NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory)

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