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Global change impacts soil carbon storage in blue carbon ecosystems

Posted by mmaheigan

· Wednesday, May 20th, 2020

Vegetated coastal “blue carbon” ecosystems, including sea grasses, mangroves, and salt marshes, provide valuable ecosystem services such as carbon sequestration, storm protection, critical habitat, etc.. Many of these services are supported by the ability of blue carbon ecosystems to accumulate soil organic carbon over thousands of years. Rapidly changing climate and environmental conditions will impact decomposition and thus the global reservoir of organic carbon in coastal soils. A recent Perspective article published in Nature Geoscience focused on the biogeochemical factors affecting decomposition in coastal soils, such as mineral protection, redox zonation, water content and movement, and plant-microbe interactions. The authors explored the spatial and temporal scales of these decomposition mechanisms and developed a conceptual framework to characterize how they may respond to environmental disturbances such as land-use change, nutrient loading, warming, and sea-level rise.

Figure caption: Temperate salt marshes (MA, USA). Healthy salt marshes have lush stands of grasses (top). Storms can expose peat deposits that have been buried for thousands of years (bottom). The fate of this soil carbon is unknown, but some fraction will be respired by microbes and returned to the atmosphere as CO₂.

Improved estimates of soil organic carbon in blue carbon systems will require better characterization of these processes from sustained data sets. Furthermore, incorporation of these decomposition mechanisms into ecosystem evolution models will improve our capacity to quantify and predict changes in these soil carbon reservoirs, which could facilitate their inclusion in global budgets and management tools.

Temperate salt marshes (MA, USA). Healthy salt marshes have lush stands of grasses (left/top). Storms can expose peat deposits that have been buried for thousands of years (right/bottom). The fate of this soil carbon is unknown, but some fraction will be respired by microbes and returned to the atmosphere as CO₂.

Authors:
Amanda C Spivak (University of Georgia)
Jon Sanderman (Woods Hole Research Center)
Jennifer Bowen (Northeastern University)
Elizabeth A. Canuel (Virginia Institute of Marine Science)
Charles S Hopkinson (University of Georgia)

Light matters for biological pump assessments

Posted by mmaheigan

· Thursday, May 7th, 2020

Organic carbon produced during photosynthesis in the sunlit euphotic zone is transported to the deep ocean via the ocean’s biological carbon pump (BCP). Even small changes in the BCP efficiency changes the carbon dioxide gradient across the ocean‐atmosphere interface, thus influencing global climate. A recent study in PNAS demonstrate that prior studies that estimate BCP efficiencies at a fixed depth fail because they do not consider the varying depth of light penetration, which ultimately controls production of sinking organic carbon and varies by location and season. Subsequently, the fixed depth approach introduces regional biases and underestimates global estimates of BCP efficiency by two-fold (Figure 1). These new findings make the case for using euphotic zone‐based metrics rather than applying a fixed depth to compare BCP efficiencies between sites. Improved estimates of BCP efficiency will lead to a better understanding of the mechanisms that control ocean carbon fluxes and its feedbacks on climate.

Figure 1: Carbon loss from the surface ocean shows more variability and is twice as high if measured at the depth where sunlight penetrates (left) vs. 150 meters (about 500 feet; right) where it is commonly measured. One Pg is 10¹⁵ grams with close to 6 Pg of carbon being transported to depth per year in left panel. In comparison, about 10 Pg C/yr is released to the atmosphere as a result of human activity.

Authors:
Ken Buesseler (WHOI)
Philip Boyd (IMAS Univ. Tasmania)
Erin Black (Dalhousie University)
David Siegel (University of California, Santa Barbara)

Also see: Tiny plankton drive processes in the ocean that capture twice as much carbon as scientists thought on The Conversation.

Featured on the cover of the PNAS May 5, 2020 issue:

Little big exporters

Posted by mmaheigan

· Wednesday, April 8th, 2020

In the Southern Ocean, coccolithophores are thought to account for a major fraction of marine carbonate production and export to the deep sea. Despite their importance in the ocean carbon cycle, we lack fundamental information about Southern Ocean coccolithophore abundance, species composition, and contribution to carbonate export.

Figure caption: Heliscosphaera carteri (left), Coccolithus pelagicus (right) and Emiliania huxleyi (bottom right, partially behind C. pelagicus) coccospheres retrieved from the subantarctic waters south of Tasmania. Image Ruth Eriksen, courtesy AAD EMU.

A recent study in Biogeosciences has generated annual observations of coccolithophore species composition and contribution to calcium carbonate fluxes at two sites that are representative of a large portion of the Subantarctic zone. Coccolithophores account for roughly half of the annual calcium carbonate exported to the deep sea. Notably, it is not the most abundant species (Emiliania huxleyi), but rather the less abundant and larger species (e.g. Calcidiscus leptoporus, Helicosphaera carteri and Coccolithus pelagicus) that make the greatest contribution to carbonate export to the deep sea. Since these larger species exhibit substantially different ecological traits from the opportunistic E. huxleyi, predictions of future response of Southern Ocean coccolithophore communities should not be based on the physiological results from experiments with E. huxleyi. Rather, new physiological response experiments of those less abundant, larger coccolithophore species are urgently needed to constrain responses of these important carbonate exporters to environmental change in the Southern Ocean. This study underscores the importance of phytoplankton ecological traits on the regulation of the marine carbon cycle and emphasizes the need for more species-specific studies to improve predictions of marine ecosystem response to ongoing climate change.

Authors
Andrés S. Rigual Hernández (Universidad de Salamanca)
Thomas W. Trull (CSIRO and ACE CRC)
Scott D. Nodder (NIWA)
José A. Flores (Universidad de Salamanca)
Helen Bostock (University of Queensland,)
Fátima Abrantes (Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere and CCMAR)
Ruth S. Eriksen (CSIRO and IMAS)
Francisco J. Sierro (Universidad de Salamanca)
Diana M. Davies (CSIRO and ACE CRC)
Anne-Marie Ballegeer (Universidad de Salamanca)
Miguel A. Fuertes (Universidad de Salamanca)
Lisa C. Northcote (NIWA)

Untangling microbial evolution in the oceans: How the interaction of biological and physical timescales determine marine microbial evolutionary strategies

Posted by mmaheigan

· Wednesday, March 11th, 2020

Marine microbes are the engines of global biogeochemical cycling in the oceans. They are responsible for approximately half of all photosynthesis on the planet and drive the ‘biological pump’, which transfers organic carbon from the surface to the deep ocean. As such, it is important to determine how marine microbes will adapt and evolve in response to a changing climate in order to understand and predict how the global carbon cycle may change. However, we still lack a mechanistic understanding of how and how fast microorganisms adapt to stressful and changing environments. This is particularly challenging due to the diversity of organisms that live in the ocean and the dynamic nature of the oceans themselves—microbes are at the whim of ocean currents and so get transported large distances fairly quickly. For the first time, a new study published in PNAS provides a prediction on the controls of microbial evolutionary timescales in the oceans. The authors hypothesize that there is a trade-off for marine microbes between ability to evolve to long-term changes versus respond to shorter term variability. Their results suggest that marine microbes commonly experience conditions that favor a short-term strategy at the cost of long-term adaptation. This trade-off determines evolutionary timescales and provides a foundation for understanding distributions of microbial traits and biogeochemistry.

Illustration of trade-off in evolutionary strategy as a function of environmental variability. Trajectories where individuals perceived high environmental variability (a & b) exhibited low selective pressure for any one environment but allowed for high environmental tracking. Trajectories where individuals perceived a more stable environment (c&d) had high selective pressure for ’new environments’ (high probability of a selective sweep) but these individuals exhibited poor environmental tracking. Panels a and c show trajectories where selective sweeps were highly probable (red), likely (yellow), and had a low probability (grey). Panels b and d show the estimated persistence of non-genetic modifications necessary for environmental tracking, where grey indicates unrealistically long timescales.

Authors:
Nathan G. Walworth (University of Southern California)
Emily J. Zakem (University of Southern California)
John P. Dunne (Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, NOAA)
Sinéad Collins (University of Edinburgh)
Naomi M. Levine (University of Southern California)

Hurricane-driven surge of labile carbon into the deep North Atlantic Ocean

Posted by mmaheigan

· Thursday, February 27th, 2020

Tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons) are the most extreme episodic weather event affecting subtropical and temperate oceans. Hurricanes generate intense surface cooling and vertical mixing in the upper ocean, resulting in nutrient upwelling into the photic zone and episodic phytoplankton blooms. However, their influence on the deep ocean is unknown.

Figure 1. (a) Particulate organic carbon (POC) flux and percentage of the total mass flux (yellow) (top panel); fluxes (middle panel) and POC-normalized concentrations (bottom panel) of diagnostic lipid biomarkers for phytoplankton-derived and labile material, zooplankton, bacteria, and other (see legend); (b) Lipid concentrations (left panel) and POC-normalized concentrations (right panel) of diagnostic lipid biomarkers for the same sources as in (a) (see legend) measured two weeks after Nicole’s passage (25-29 Oct. 2016). Shown for reference are total lipid concentration profiles in April 2015 (dark gray, typical post spring bloom conditions) and Nov 2015 (light gray, typical minimum production period).

In October 2016, Category 3 Hurricane Nicole passed over the Bermuda time-series site (Oceanic Flux Program (OFP) and Bermuda Atlantic Time-Series site (BATS)) in the oligotrophic NW Atlantic Ocean. In a recent study published in Geophysical Research Letters, authors synthesized multidisciplinary data from hydrographic and phytoplankton measurements and lipid composition of sinking and suspended particles collected from OFP and BATS, respectively, after Hurricane Nicole in 2016. After the hurricane passed, particulate fluxes of lipids diagnostic of fresh phytodetritus, zooplankton, and microbial biomass increased by 30-300% at 1500 m depth and 30-800% at 3200 m depth (Figure 1a). In addition, mesopelagic suspended particles were enriched in phytodetrital material, as well as zooplankton- and bacteria-sourced lipids (Figure 1b), indicating particle disaggregation and a deep-water ecosystem response.

These results suggest that carbon export and biogeochemical cycles may be impacted by climate-induced changes in hurricane frequency, intensity, and tracks, and, underscore the sensitivity of deep ocean ecosystems to climate perturbations.

Authors:
Rut Pedrosa-Pamies (Marine Biological Laboratory)
Maureen H. Conte (Bermuda Institute of Ocean Science and Marine Biological Laboratory)
JC Weber (Marine Biological Laboratory)
Rodney Johnson (Bermuda Institute of Ocean Science)

The past, present, and future of the ocean carbon cycle: A global data product with regional insights

Posted by mmaheigan

· Tuesday, January 21st, 2020

A new study published in Scientific Reports debuts a global data product of ocean acidification (OA) and buffer capacity from the beginning of the Industrial Revolution to the end of the century (1750-2100 C.E.). To develop this product, the authors linked one of the richest observational carbon dioxide (CO₂) data products (6^th version of the Surface Ocean CO₂ Atlas, 1991-2018, ~23 million observations) with temporal trends modeled at individual locations in the global ocean. By linking the modeled pH trends to the observed modern pH distribution, the climatology benefits from recent improvements in both model design and observational data coverage, and is likely to provide more accurate regional OA trajectories than the model output alone. The authors also show that air-sea CO₂ disequilibrium is the dominant mode of spatial variability for surface pH, and discuss why pH and calcium carbonate mineral saturation states (Omega), two important metrics for OA, show contrasting spatial variability. They discover that sea surface temperature (SST) imposes two large but cancelling effects on surface ocean pH and Omega, i.e., the effects of SST on (a) chemical speciation of the carbonic system; and (b) air-sea exchange of CO₂ and the subsequent DIC/TA ratio of the seawater. These two processes act in concert for Omega but oppose each other for pH. As a result, while Omega is markedly lower in the colder polar regions than in the warmer subtropical and tropical regions, surface ocean pH shows little latitudinal variation.

Figure 1. Spatial distribution of global surface ocean pH_T (total hydrogen scale, annually averaged) in past (1770), present (2000) and future (2100) under the IPCC RCP8.5 scenario.

This data product, which extends from the pre-Industrial era (1750 C.E.) to the end of this century under historical atmospheric CO₂ concentrations (pre-2005) and the Representative Concentrations Pathways (post-2005) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s 5^th Assessment Report, may be helpful to policy-makers and managers who are developing regional adaptation strategies for ocean acidification.

The published paper is available here: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-55039-4

The data product is available here: https://www.nodc.noaa.gov/oads/data/0206289.xml

Authors:
Li-Qing Jiang (University of Maryland and NOAA NCEI)
Brendan Carter (NOAA PMEL and University of Washington JISAO)
Richard Feely (NOAA PMEL)
Siv Lauvset, Are Olsen (University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Norway)

Surface bacterial communities respond to rapid changes in the western Arctic

Posted by mmaheigan

· Tuesday, January 7th, 2020

During the western Arctic summer open water season, latitudinal differences in the physical and biogeochemical features of the surface water are apparent from the Bering Strait to the Chukchi Borderland. Lower latitude regions (i.e. Bering Strait to Chukchi Shelf) are primarily driven by the inflow of Pacific waters that supply nutrients and heat, leading to high primary production. Conversely, the higher latitude regions (i.e. Chukchi Borderland and Canada Basin) are relatively cold, fresh, and oligotrophic because the surface layer is influenced by freshwater inputs from melting ice and rivers via the Beaufort Gyre. Mixing of the two surface water masses in the western Arctic produces a physicochemical frontal zone (FZ) in the Chukchi Sea.

In a recent study published in Scientific Reports, authors used observations from summer 2017 to investigate latitudinal variations in bacterial community composition in surface waters between the Bering Strait and Chukchi Borderland and the underlying processes driving the changes. Results indicate three distinctive communities: 1) Southern Chukchi (SC) bacterial communities are associated with nutrient-rich conditions, including genera such as Sulfitobacter; 2) a northern Chukchi (NC) bacterial community that dominated by SAR clades, Flavobacterium, Paraglaciecola, and Polaribacter, genera associated with low nutrients and sea ice conditions. If climate-driven changes in the western Arctic continue along the same trajectory, it’s likely we will see altered bacterial communities. If the impact of warm, nutrient-rich Pacific water inflows dominates, it is likely that the productive SC region will expand and the FZ will move northward, leading to nutrient enrichment in the western Arctic (Figure 1). In response, bacterial communities would be dominated by organic matter decomposers, such as Sulfitobacter, due to high primary productivity. However, if the impact of sea-ice meltwater dominates, then the oligotrophic NC region will expand and the FZ will move southward, leading to nutrient depletion in western Arctic surface waters (Figure 1). Continued monitoring in this region will enhance our understanding of how bacterial communities respond (Figure 1b) to a rapidly changing western Arctic Ocean.

Figure 1. (a) Map of the August 2017 Ice Breaker RV Araon western Arctic Ocean sampling stations used in this study. The basemap shows the Chl-a concentration contour (blue to red background colors). Pink, green, and blue circles represent stations in the South Chukchi (SC), Frontal Zone (FZ), and Northern Chukchi (NC) regions. (b) Schematic diagram of surface bacterial community distribution in response to future western Arctic Ocean changes.

Authors:
Il-Nam Kim (Department of Marine Science, Incheon National University)
Sung-Ho Kang (Korea Polar Research Institute)
Eun Jin Yang (Korea Polar Research Institute)

The Equatorial Undercurrent influences the fate of the Oxygen Minimum Zone in the Pacific

Posted by mmaheigan

· Tuesday, November 12th, 2019

While the ocean as a whole is losing oxygen due to warming, oxygen minimum zones (OMZs) are maintained by a delicate balance of biological and physical processes; it is unclear how each one of them is going to evolve in the future. Changes to OMZs could affect the global uptake of carbon, the generation of greenhouse gases, and interactions among marine life. Current generation coarse-resolution (~1°) climate models compromise the ability to simulate low-oxygen waters and their response to climate change in the future because they fail to reproduce a major ocean current, the Equatorial Undercurrent (EUC). These shortcomings lead to an overly tilted upper oxygen minimum zone (OMZ) (Figure 1), thus exaggerating sensitivity to circulation changes and overwhelming other key processes like diffusion and biology. The EUC also plays a vital role in feeding the eastern Pacific upwelling region, connecting it to global climate variability.

Figure: Top: The boundary of the Oxygen Minimum Zone (OMZ) along the Equator is unrealistically tilted for current generation (coarse resolution) climate models, and improves with increased horizontal resolution. The tilt is due to a bad representation of the Equatorial Undercurrent in the coarse model, also seen in other coarse models. The exaggerated tilt of the OMZ boundary at the Equator leads to increased inter-annual variability of the depth of the upper OMZ boundary, via changes in the zonal flow (left). This phenomenon is found in most CMIP5 models (right) and could be responsible for the current inability to predict the change in OMZ extent for the next century.

A recent high‐resolution climate model study in Geophysical Research Letters significantly improved the representation of both the EUC and OMZ, suggesting that the EUC is a key player in OMZ variability. This study emphasizes the importance of improving transport processes in global circulation models to better simulate oxygen distribution and predict future OMZ extent. The results of this study imply that the fundamental dynamics maintaining this key ocean current could be categorically misrepresented in the current generation of climate models, potentially influencing the ability to predict future climate variability and trends.

Authors:
Julius J.M. Busecke (Princeton University)
Laure Resplandy (Princeton University)
John P. Dunne (NOAA/GFDL)

A new roadmap of climate change driven ocean changes

Posted by mmaheigan

· Wednesday, October 2nd, 2019

When will we see significant changes in the ocean due to climate change? A new study in Nature Climate Change confirms that outcomes tied directly to the escalation of atmospheric carbon dioxide have already emerged in the existing 30-year observational record. These include sea surface warming, acidification, and increases in the rate at which the ocean removes carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

In contrast, processes tied indirectly to the ramp-up of atmospheric carbon dioxide through the gradual modification of climate and ocean circulation will take longer, from three decades to more than a century. These include changes in upper-ocean mixing, nutrient supply, and the cycling of carbon through marine plants and animals.

The researchers performed model simulations of potential future climate states that could result from a combination of human-made climate change and random chance (figure 1). These experiments were performed with an Earth System Model, a climate model that has an interactive carbon cycle such that changes in the climate and carbon cycle can be considered in tandem.

Figure 1: Percentage of ocean with emergent anthropogenic trends in ocean biogeochemical and physical variables. A time series of the percentage of the global ocean area with locally emergent anthropogenic trends illustrates the disparity of emergence timescales for anthropogenic changes in the ocean carbon cycle. Emergence is defined as the point in time when the LE’s signal-to-noise ratio for a linear trend referenced to the year 1990 first exceeds a magnitude of two, which represents a 95% confidence in the identification of an anthropogenic trend in the LE Ω applies to the saturation state of both the aragonite and calcite forms of calcium carbonate (CaCO₃), for which the emergence times are approximately equivalent. The CaCO₃ and soft-tissue pumps were calculated as the export flux at 100 m depth of CaCO₃ and particulate organic carbon, respectively. The heat content was calculated as an integral over 0–700 m, whereas the oxygen (O₂) inventories consider the integral 200–600 m, and chlorophyll inventories were considered over 0–500 m. NPP represents an integral over 0–100 m. All the other variables represent sea surface properties.

The finding of a 30- to 100-year delay in the emergence of effects suggests that ocean observation programs should be maintained for many decades into the future to effectively monitor the changes occurring in the ocean. The study also indicates that the detectability of some changes in the ocean would benefit from improvements to the current observational sampling strategy. These include looking deeper into the ocean for changes in phytoplankton and capturing changes in both summer and winter ocean-atmosphere exchange of carbon dioxide rather than just the annual mean.

Figure 2. Venn Diagram schematic of sources of uncertainty in simulation (using Earth-System Modeling approach) and observation of changes in the Earth system. For emergence, detection or attribution of an observed or simulated signal to occur, the signal must overcome the sources of uncertainty in their respective brackets.

Many types of observational efforts, including time-series or permanent locations of continuous measurement, as well as regional sampling programs and global remote sensing platforms are critical for understanding our changing planet and improving our capacity to detect change.

Authors:
Sarah Schlunegger (Princeton University)
Keith B. Rodgers (Institute for Basic Science and Busan National University, South Korea)
Jorge L. Sarmiento (Princeton University)
Thomas L. Frölicher (University of Bern)
John P. Dunne (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Masao Ishii (Japan Meteorological Agency)
Richard Slater (Princeton University)

Industrial era climate forcing drives multi-century decline in North Atlantic productivity

Posted by mmaheigan

· Wednesday, October 2nd, 2019

Phytoplankton respond directly to climate forcing, and due to their central role in global oxygen production and atmospheric carbon sequestration, they are critical components of the Earth’s climate system. There are however few observations detailing past variability in marine primary productivity, particularly over multi-decadal to centennial timescales. This limits our understanding of the long-term impact of climatic forcing on both past and future marine productivity.

Multi-century decline of subarctic Atlantic productivity. From top: standardized (z-score units relative to ad 1958-2016) indices of Continuous Plankton Recorder (CPR)-based diatom, dinoflagellate and coccolithophore relative-abundances; North Atlantic [chlorophyll-α] reconstruction from Boyce et al. (2010, Nature); ice core-based [MSA] PC1 productivity index. The “Industrial Onset” range shows the estimated initiation of declining subarctic Atlantic productivity; reconstructed (Rahmstorf et al., 2015, Nat. Clim. Change) and observed sea-surface temperature-based Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (i.e., AMOC) index, alongside 5-year averaged subarctic Atlantic freshwater storage anomalies (relative to A.D. 1955) from Curry and Mauritzen (2005; Science).

Authors of a new study published in Nature used a high-resolution signal of marine biogenic aerosol emissions (methanesulfonic acid, or “MSA”) preserved within twelve Greenland ice cores to reconstruct a ~250-year record of marine productivity variations across the subarctic Atlantic basin, one of the most biologically productive and climatically sensitive regions on Earth. These results provide the most continuous proxy-based reconstruction of basin-scale productivity to date in this region, illuminating the following major findings: (1) subarctic Atlantic marine productivity has declined over the industrial era by as much as 10 ± 7%; (2) the early 19th century onset of declining productivity coincides with the regional onset of industrial-era surface warming, and also strongly covaries with regional sea surface temperatures and basin-scale gyre circulation strength; (3) there is strong decadal- to centennial-scale coherence between northern Atlantic productivity variability and declining Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strength, as predicted by prior model-based studies.

Future atmospheric warming is predicted to contribute to accelerating Greenland Ice Sheet runoff, ocean-surface freshening, and AMOC slowdown, suggesting the potential for continued declines in productivity across this dynamic and climatically important region. Such declines will, in turn, have important implications for future maritime economies, global food security, and drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide.

Authors:
Matthew Osman (Massachusetts Institute of Technology)
Sarah Das (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)
Luke Trusel (Rowan University)
Matthew Evans (Wheaton College)
Hubertus Fischer (University of Bern)
Mackenzie Griemann (University of California, Irvine)
Sepp Kipfstuhl (Alfred-Wegener-Institute)
Joseph McConnell (Desert Research Institute)
Eric Saltzman (University of California, Irvine)

Figure references:
Boyce, D. G., Lewis, M. R. & Worm, B. (2010) Global phytoplankton decline over the past century. Nature 466, 591–596.

Curry, R. & Mauritzen, C. (2005) Dilution of the northern North Atlantic Ocean in recent decades. Science 308, 1772–1774.

Rahmstorf, S. et al. (2015) Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation. Nat. Clim. Change 5, 475–480.

Funding for the Ocean Carbon & Biogeochemistry Project Office is provided by the National Science Foundation (NSF) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA). The OCB Project Office is housed at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

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